The relationship between (sub)tropical climates and the incidence of COVID-19

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Autor(es): dc.creatorPrata, David Nadler-
Autor(es): dc.creatorRodrigues, Waldecy-
Autor(es): dc.creatorBermejo, Paulo Henrique de Souza-
Autor(es): dc.creatorMoreira, Marina Figueiredo-
Autor(es): dc.creatorCamargo, Wainesten-
Autor(es): dc.creatorLisboa, Marcelo-
Autor(es): dc.creatorReis, Geovane Rossone-
Autor(es): dc.creatorAraújo, Humberto Xavier de-
Data de aceite: dc.date.accessioned2024-10-23T16:40:46Z-
Data de disponibilização: dc.date.available2024-10-23T16:40:46Z-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2021-08-10-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2021-08-10-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2021-02-04-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttps://repositorio.unb.br/handle/10482/41614-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.10655-
Fonte: dc.identifier.urihttp://educapes.capes.gov.br/handle/capes/914496-
Descrição: dc.descriptionThis work explores (non)linear associations between relative humidity and temperature and the incidence of COVID-19 among 27 Brazilian state capital cities in (sub)tropical climates, measured daily from summer through winter. Previous works analyses have shown that SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, finds stability by striking a certain balance between relative humidity and temperature, which indicates the possibility of surface contact transmission. The question remains whether seasonal changes associated with climatic fluctuations might actively influence virus survival. Correlations between climatic variables and infectivity rates of SARS-CoV-2 were applied by the use of a Generalized Additive Model (GAM) and the Locally Estimated Scatterplot Smoothing LOESS nonparametric model. Tropical climates allow for more frequent outdoor human interaction, making such areas ideal for studies on the natural transmission of the virus. Outcomes revealed an inverse relationship between subtropical and tropical climates for the spread of the novel coronavirus and temperature, suggesting a sensitivity behavior to climates zones. Each 1 °C rise of the daily temperature mean correlated with a −11.76% (t = −5.71, p < 0.0001) decrease and a 5.66% (t = 5.68, p < 0.0001) increase in the incidence of COVID-19 for subtropical and tropical climates, respectively.-
Descrição: dc.descriptionFaculdade de Economia, Administração, Contabilidade e Gestão de Políticas Públicas (FACE)-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartamento de Administração (FACE ADM)-
Formato: dc.formatapplication/pdf-
Publicador: dc.publisherPeerJ-
Direitos: dc.rightsAcesso Aberto-
Direitos: dc.rightsCopyright 2021 Prata et al. Distributed under Creative Commons CC-BY 4.0.-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectTemperatura e umidade tropicais-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectCovid-19-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectModelo aditivo generalizado-
Título: dc.titleThe relationship between (sub)tropical climates and the incidence of COVID-19-
Tipo de arquivo: dc.typelivro digital-
Aparece nas coleções:Repositório Institucional – UNB

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