Multiscale analysis and modelling of Aedes aegypti population spatial dynamics.

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MetadadosDescriçãoIdioma
Autor(es): dc.creatorLana, Raquel Martins-
Autor(es): dc.creatorCarneiro, Tiago Garcia de Senna-
Autor(es): dc.creatorHonório, Nildimar A.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorCodeço, Cláudia Torres-
Data de aceite: dc.date.accessioned2019-11-06T13:32:05Z-
Data de disponibilização: dc.date.available2019-11-06T13:32:05Z-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2015-01-26-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2015-01-26-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2011-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttp://www.repositorio.ufop.br/handle/123456789/4378-
Fonte: dc.identifier.urihttp://educapes.capes.gov.br/handle/capes/557449-
Descrição: dc.descriptionPopulation dynamic models requires the evaluation of the best scale of analysis. This work analyses three spatial scales in the context of the mosquito Aedes aegypti, main vector of dengue fever. One scale is the neighborhood, the others scales are the census tract and the lot. A geographical database was developed including point maps with trap locations, number of eggs collected per trap per week, polygons of census tracts, census data, among others. For simulation purposes, a layer of regular cells (10 x 10 meters) was created to store the model’s inputs and outputs. A population dynamic model with temperature as input variable was parameterized and fitted to the neighborhood and census tract data. For the lot level, an allocation procedure was developed as the spatial resolution was higher than the data resolution. This procedure couples the population dynamic model with a kernel density map. Results indicate that at the neighborhood level, the population model captured well the overall pattern with lower mosquito density during the cold season and larger during the warm season. However, in the first warm season, two peaks did not fit well, suggesting the importance of investigating the role of other variables in the dynamics of Aedes aegypti. At the census tract level, we found no evidence of spatial clustering. At the lot level, the allocation model represented well the overall summer to winter variation in hotspot intensity. The cost of vector surveillance is high and the procedures proposed here can be used to design optimized control strategies and activities.-
Idioma: dc.languageen-
Direitos: dc.rightsCopyright 2011 Permission to copy without fee all or part of the material printed in JIDM is granted provided that the copies are not made or distributed for commercial advantage, and that notice is given that copying is by permission of the Sociedade Brasileira de Computação. Fonte: Informação contida no artigo.-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectAedes aegypti-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectCalibration-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectPopulation model-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectSpatial model-
Título: dc.titleMultiscale analysis and modelling of Aedes aegypti population spatial dynamics.-
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