Biocontrol in a warmer world: anticipating the climate suitability of an aggressive invasive plant and its specialist herbivore

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MetadadosDescriçãoIdioma
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade Estadual de Maringá (UEM)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversity of Alberta-
Autor(es): dc.contributorIsla de La Cartuja-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversity of Sevilla-
Autor(es): dc.creatorPulzatto, Mikaela Marques-
Autor(es): dc.creatordos Santos Ribas, Luiz Guilherme-
Autor(es): dc.creatorde Assis Murillo, Raytha-
Autor(es): dc.creatorFlorêncio, Fernanda Moreira-
Autor(es): dc.creatorVilà, Montserrat-
Autor(es): dc.creatorThomaz, Sidinei Magela-
Data de aceite: dc.date.accessioned2025-08-21T23:08:23Z-
Data de disponibilização: dc.date.available2025-08-21T23:08:23Z-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2025-04-29-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2024-12-31-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10750-025-05808-2-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/11449/308345-
Fonte: dc.identifier.urihttp://educapes.capes.gov.br/handle/11449/308345-
Descrição: dc.descriptionClimate change may exacerbate alien species expansion into previously unsuitable areas. This shift in species distributions can lead to mismatches between interacting species. We evaluated the potential worldwide distribution of the invasive plant Alternanthera philoxeroides, and its specialist herbivore, the flea beetle Agasicles hygrophila, under future global warming scenarios to identify overlapping and non-overlapping areas. We used species distribution models (SDMs) to predict the potential global distribution of both species in current, and in moderately optimistic and pessimistic scenarios. Climate change is expected to significantly expand A. philoxeroides toward higher latitudes, increasing its global range and climatic suitability. Agasicles hygrophila is also predicted to expand, albeit to a lesser extent, with some loss of currently suitable areas and a decrease in suitability. The overlapping area between their distributions is projected to increase globally, except in the USA. This suggests promising biocontrol potential for alligator weed in many regions in the future, but portions of its distribution may remain unsuitable for the flea beetle, particularly at higher latitudes. The northward expansion of the plant beyond the flea beetle’s range may create zones with low control efficiency. These findings can help management strategies for this invasive plant under its future potential distribution.-
Descrição: dc.descriptionGraduate Program in Ecology of Inland Water Ecosystems (PEA) Department of Biology (DBI) Center of Biological Sciences (CCB) State University of Maringá (UEM), Av. Colombo, 5790, Bloco G90, Jardim Universitário, Paraná-
Descrição: dc.descriptionLaboratório de Biologia da Conservação Departamento de Biodiversidade Universidade Estadual Paulista, Av. 24 A, 1515, Rio Claro-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartment of Biological Sciences University of Alberta-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDoñana Biological Station (EBD-CSIC) Americo Vespucio S/N Isla de La Cartuja-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartment of Plant Biology and Ecology University of Sevilla-
Descrição: dc.descriptionLaboratório de Biologia da Conservação Departamento de Biodiversidade Universidade Estadual Paulista, Av. 24 A, 1515, Rio Claro-
Idioma: dc.languageen-
Relação: dc.relationHydrobiologia-
???dc.source???: dc.sourceScopus-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectAgasicles hygrophila-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectAlligator weed-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectAlthernanthera philoxeroides-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectBiological control efficiency-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectClimate change-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectFlea beetle-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectGlobal warming-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectSpecies distribution model-
Título: dc.titleBiocontrol in a warmer world: anticipating the climate suitability of an aggressive invasive plant and its specialist herbivore-
Tipo de arquivo: dc.typelivro digital-
Aparece nas coleções:Repositório Institucional - Unesp

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