Unsustainable land use trajectories in the Tocantins/Araguaia basin: Insights from future scenario modeling

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MetadadosDescriçãoIdioma
Autor(es): dc.contributorState University of Maringá-
Autor(es): dc.contributorState University of Santa Catarina (UDESC)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversity of Ljubljana-
Autor(es): dc.contributorTechnische Universität München-
Autor(es): dc.contributorFederal University of Paraná-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)-
Autor(es): dc.creatorSchmitz, Marcelo Henrique-
Autor(es): dc.creatorMalek, Žiga-
Autor(es): dc.creatordo Couto, Edivando Vitor-
Autor(es): dc.creatorGentil, Eduardo-
Autor(es): dc.creatorCardozo, Ana Lúcia Paz-
Autor(es): dc.creatorMoretto, Yara-
Autor(es): dc.creatorda Silveira, Natália Stefanini-
Autor(es): dc.creatorAgostinho, Angelo Antonio-
Data de aceite: dc.date.accessioned2025-08-21T16:39:34Z-
Data de disponibilização: dc.date.available2025-08-21T16:39:34Z-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2025-04-29-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2024-12-31-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-025-02137-5-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/11449/307423-
Fonte: dc.identifier.urihttp://educapes.capes.gov.br/handle/11449/307423-
Descrição: dc.descriptionEffective watershed management is essential for biodiversity conservation and mitigating environmental impacts like deforestation and ecosystem disruptions, especially in the context of climate change. The Tocantins/Araguaia Basin (TOAR), Brazil's second-largest watershed, faces significant challenges due to unsustainable land use practices. To address this, we modeled future land use and cover changes (2015–2045) using the CLUE model under three scenarios: Business-as-usual (BAUS), Conservation-based (CONS), and Production-based (PROD). Key drivers included soil type, average temperature, and yearly precipitation. Projections indicate persistent deforestation and habitat fragmentation, particularly under PROD, while CONS still projects notable losses in forests, savannas, and grasslands. These results highlight the urgent need for proactive conservation measures, stricter environmental regulations, and sustainable land use planning to protect TOAR’s ecosystems and biodiversity. Addressing these issues is critical for preserving this vulnerable and understudied region amidst growing environmental pressures.-
Descrição: dc.descriptionLimnology Ichthyology and Aquaculture Research Group Department of Biology Postgraduate Program in Continental Aquatic Environments Ecology Ichthyology Laboratory State University of Maringá, 5790 Colombo Avenue, Block G-90, PR-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartment of Fisheries Engineering and Biological Sciences State University of Santa Catarina (UDESC), 270 Coronel Fernandes Martins Street, Progresso, SC-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartment of Landscape Architecture Biotechnical Faculty University of Ljubljana-
Descrição: dc.descriptionLehrstuhl für Bodenordnung und Landentwicklung/Chair of Land Management Technische Universität München, Arcisstraße 21-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartment of Biodiversity Federal University of Paraná, 2153 Pioneiro Street, Palotina Campus, PR-
Descrição: dc.descriptionSpatial Ecology and Conservation Lab – LEEC Biodiversity Department UNESP - Rio Claro, 1515 24ª Avenue, Bela Vista, SP-
Descrição: dc.descriptionSpatial Ecology and Conservation Lab – LEEC Biodiversity Department UNESP - Rio Claro, 1515 24ª Avenue, Bela Vista, SP-
Idioma: dc.languageen-
Relação: dc.relationAmbio-
???dc.source???: dc.sourceScopus-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectAmazon-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectBrazilian cerrado-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectConservation-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectPublic policy-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectSustainability-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectWater resources-
Título: dc.titleUnsustainable land use trajectories in the Tocantins/Araguaia basin: Insights from future scenario modeling-
Tipo de arquivo: dc.typelivro digital-
Aparece nas coleções:Repositório Institucional - Unesp

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