Ambient temperature and dengue hospitalization in Brazil A 10-year period case time series analysis

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Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorCIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública-
Autor(es): dc.contributorPontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro (PUC-Rio)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorOswaldo Cruz Foundation (FIOCRUZ)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade de São Paulo (USP)-
Autor(es): dc.creatorLopes, Rafael-
Autor(es): dc.creatorBasagaña, Xavier-
Autor(es): dc.creatorBastos, Leonardo S.L.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorBozza, Fernando A.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorRanzani, Otavio T.-
Data de aceite: dc.date.accessioned2025-08-21T18:24:59Z-
Data de disponibilização: dc.date.available2025-08-21T18:24:59Z-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2025-04-29-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2024-12-29-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1097/EE9.0000000000000360-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/11449/304430-
Fonte: dc.identifier.urihttp://educapes.capes.gov.br/handle/11449/304430-
Descrição: dc.descriptionBackground: Dengue has an increased worldwide epidemic potential with the global rising temperature due to climate change. Heat and rainfall are known to influence seasonal patterns of dengue transmission over the course of weeks to months. However, there is a gap in knowledge about the short-term effect of heat on dengue severity. We aimed to quantify the effect of ambient temperature on dengue hospitalization risk in Brazil. Methods: Daily dengue hospitalization counts and average daily ambient temperature from 2010 to 2019 were analyzed from Brazil. We applied the case time series design combined with a distributed lag nonlinear model framework to estimate relative risk (RR) estimates for dose–response and lag–response structures for the association of temperature and dengue hospitalization. We estimate the overall dengue hospitalization RR for the whole country as well as for each of the five macroregions. Results: A total of 579,703 hospital admissions due to dengue occurred between 2010 and 2019. We observed a positive association between high temperatures and a high risk of hospitalization across the country. Under extreme heat (95th percentile of temperature), the RR was 3.47 (95% confidence interval: 2.88, 4.19) compared with minimum hospitalization risk. This association was mainly driven by an immediate effect of heat (lag 0) and was similar for the Northeast, Center-West, Southeast, and South regions, but unclear for the North. The risk was of greater magnitude among females and those aged ≥65 years. Conclusion: Short-term high temperatures are associated with an increase in the risk of hospitalization by dengue.-
Descrição: dc.descriptionInstituto de Física Teórica - IFT UNESP-
Descrição: dc.descriptionBarcelona Institute for Global Health ISGlobal Universitat Pompeu Fabra CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartment of Industrial Engineering (DEI) Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro (PUC-Rio), State of Rio de Janeiro-
Descrição: dc.descriptionNational Institute of Infectious Disease Evandro Chagas (INI) Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (FIOCRUZ), State of Rio de Janeiro-
Descrição: dc.descriptionPulmonary Division Heart Institute (InCor) HCFMUSP Faculdade de Medicina Universidade de São Paulo-
Descrição: dc.descriptionInstituto de Física Teórica - IFT UNESP-
Formato: dc.formate360-
Idioma: dc.languageen-
Relação: dc.relationEnvironmental Epidemiology-
???dc.source???: dc.sourceScopus-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectDengue-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectHeat-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectHospitalization-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectTemperature-
Título: dc.titleAmbient temperature and dengue hospitalization in Brazil A 10-year period case time series analysis-
Tipo de arquivo: dc.typelivro digital-
Aparece nas coleções:Repositório Institucional - Unesp

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