The fewer, the better fare: Can the loss of vegetation in the Cerrado drive the increase in dengue fever cases infection?

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Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul (UFMS)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorFederal University of Acre (UFAC)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade Estadual de Londrina (UEL)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade de São Paulo (USP)-
Autor(es): dc.creatorda Silva, Arlindo Ananias Pereira-
Autor(es): dc.creatorFranquelino, Adriano Roberto-
Autor(es): dc.creatorTeodoro, Paulo Eduardo-
Autor(es): dc.creatorMontanari, Rafael-
Autor(es): dc.creatorFaria, Glaucia Amorim-
Autor(es): dc.creatorda Silva, Cristóvão Henrique Ribeiro-
Autor(es): dc.creatorda Silva, Dayane Bortoloto-
Autor(es): dc.creatorJúnior, Walter Aparecido Ribeiro-
Autor(es): dc.creatorMuchalak, Franciele-
Autor(es): dc.creatorSouza, Kassia Maria Cruz-
Autor(es): dc.creatorda Silva, Marcos Henrique Prudencio-
Autor(es): dc.creatorTeodoro, Larissa Pereira Ribeiro-
Data de aceite: dc.date.accessioned2025-08-21T22:09:21Z-
Data de disponibilização: dc.date.available2025-08-21T22:09:21Z-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2022-04-28-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2022-04-28-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2021-12-31-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0262473-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/11449/223284-
Fonte: dc.identifier.urihttp://educapes.capes.gov.br/handle/11449/223284-
Descrição: dc.descriptionSeveral studies have reported the relationship of deforestation with increased incidence of infectious diseases, mainly due to the deregulation caused in these environments. The purpose of this study was to answer the following questions: a) is increased loss of vegetation related to dengue cases in the Brazilian Cerrado? b) how do different regions of the tropical savanna biome present distinct patterns for total dengue cases and vegetation loss? c) what is the projection of a future scenario of deforestation and an increased number of dengue cases in 2030? Thus, this study aimed to assess the relationship between loss of native vegetation in the Cerrado and dengue infection. In this paper, we quantify the entire deforested area and dengue infection cases from 2001 to 2019. For data analyses, we used Poisson generalized linear model, descriptive statistics, cluster analysis, non-parametric statistics, and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to predict loss of vegetation and fever dengue cases for the next decade. Cluster analysis revealed the formation of four clusters among the states. Our results showed significant increases in loss of native vegetation in all states, with the exception of Piauí. As for dengue cases, there were increases in the states of Minas Gerais, São Paulo, and Mato Grosso. Based on projections for 2030, Minas Gerais will register about 4,000 dengue cases per 100,000 inhabitants, São Paulo 750 dengue cases per 100,000 inhabitants, and Mato Grosso 500 dengue cases per 100,000 inhabitants. To reduce these projections, Brazil will need to control deforestation and implement public health, environmental and social policies, requiring a joint effort from all spheres of society.-
Descrição: dc.descriptionConselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)-
Descrição: dc.descriptionGraduate Program in Agronomy–Cropping Systems São Paulo State University (Unesp), SP-
Descrição: dc.descriptionGraduate Program in Geography São Paulo State University (Unesp) School of Technology and Sciences, SP-
Descrição: dc.descriptionFederal University of Mato Grosso do Sul (UFMS), Chapadão do Sul, MS-
Descrição: dc.descriptionFederal University of Acre (UFAC)-
Descrição: dc.descriptionGraduate Program in Agronomy State University of Londrina (Uel), PR-
Descrição: dc.descriptionGraduate Program in Sciences—Nuclear Energy in Agriculture Centro de Energia Nuclear na Agricultura São Paulo University-
Descrição: dc.descriptionSão Paulo State University (Unesp) Engineering School, SP-
Descrição: dc.descriptionGraduate Program in Geography Federal University of Mato Grosso do Sul (UFMS), Três Lagoas, MS-
Descrição: dc.descriptionGraduate Program in Agronomy–Cropping Systems São Paulo State University (Unesp), SP-
Descrição: dc.descriptionGraduate Program in Geography São Paulo State University (Unesp) School of Technology and Sciences, SP-
Descrição: dc.descriptionSão Paulo State University (Unesp) Engineering School, SP-
Descrição: dc.descriptionCNPq: 303767/2020-0-
Idioma: dc.languageen-
Relação: dc.relationPLoS ONE-
???dc.source???: dc.sourceScopus-
Título: dc.titleThe fewer, the better fare: Can the loss of vegetation in the Cerrado drive the increase in dengue fever cases infection?-
Tipo de arquivo: dc.typelivro digital-
Aparece nas coleções:Repositório Institucional - Unesp

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