Climate projections of air temperature and precipitation in sao paulo using the regcm4 regional model

Registro completo de metadados
MetadadosDescriçãoIdioma
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorInstituto de Recursos Naturais-
Autor(es): dc.creatorde Godoy, Renan Muinos Parrode [UNESP]-
Autor(es): dc.creatorGozzo, Luiz Felippe [UNESP]-
Autor(es): dc.creatorLlopart, Marta [UNESP]-
Autor(es): dc.creatorPeron, Bruna Luiza [UNESP]-
Autor(es): dc.creatorReboita, Michelle Simões-
Autor(es): dc.creatorRepinaldo, Henrique Fuchs Bueno [UNESP]-
Autor(es): dc.creatorMarrafon, Victor-
Data de aceite: dc.date.accessioned2022-08-04T22:09:47Z-
Data de disponibilização: dc.date.available2022-08-04T22:09:47Z-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2022-04-28-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2022-04-28-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2020-12-31-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.11137/1982-3908_2021_44_39850-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/11449/221783-
Fonte: dc.identifier.urihttp://educapes.capes.gov.br/handle/11449/221783-
Descrição: dc.descriptionThis study aims to evaluate changes in the average values of precipitation and temperature over the state of São Paulo (Brazil) and in three indexes of climatic extremes (consecutive dry days-CDD, rainy extremes-R95p, and heatwave duration-HWD) between the present period and the end of the 21st century, based on a regional climate model. Three simulations/projections of the Regional Climate Model (RegCM4) were used for the present (1995-2014) and future (2080-2100) climate, and the analysis was divided into summer (DJF) and winter (JJA). The simulations consider the most pessimistic scenario for the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere of the IPCC (RCP8.5). Observed data from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) are used to analyze the dexterity of simulations in the present climate for precipitation and air temperature. In the summer, the simulations overestimate the rainfall on the coast, while they represent it closer to the observed in the winter. For air temperature, there are underestimates on the south coast for both seasons. In the interior of the state, the simulated temperatures in summer are close to what was observed, whereas in the winter there is an overestimation of this variable. Regarding the climatic indices, there is little change in the CDD for the summer, and an increase for the winter, mainly in the interior of the state, while R95p shows a sign opposite to the CDD. HWD shows a decrease in DJF in the interior and an increase in the coastal region for JJA. The interior of São Paulo is identified as the region most susceptible to consecutive dry and extreme rainy days, while heatwaves show a more relevant sign of an increase in the south and east of the state during the winter.-
Descrição: dc.descriptionFundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)-
Descrição: dc.descriptionConselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)-
Descrição: dc.descriptionUniversidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp) Faculdade de Ciências-
Descrição: dc.descriptionUniversidade Federal de Itajubá (UNIFEI) Instituto de Recursos Naturais-
Descrição: dc.descriptionUniversidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp) Faculdade de Ciências-
Descrição: dc.descriptionFAPESP: 2019/14430-3-
Descrição: dc.descriptionCNPq: 422042/2018-8-
Idioma: dc.languagept_BR-
Relação: dc.relationAnuario do Instituto de Geociencias-
???dc.source???: dc.sourceScopus-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectClimate change-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectClimate extremes-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectState of São Paulo-
Título: dc.titleClimate projections of air temperature and precipitation in sao paulo using the regcm4 regional model-
Título: dc.titleProjeções climáticas de temperatura do ar e precipitação para o estado de são paulo utilizando o modelo regional regcm4-
Tipo de arquivo: dc.typelivro digital-
Aparece nas coleções:Repositório Institucional - Unesp

Não existem arquivos associados a este item.