Addressing the COVID-19 transmission in inner Brazil by a mathematical model

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Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)-
Autor(es): dc.creatorAlmeida, G. B. [UNESP]-
Autor(es): dc.creatorVilches, T. N.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorFerreira, C. P. [UNESP]-
Autor(es): dc.creatorFortaleza, C. M.C.B. [UNESP]-
Data de aceite: dc.date.accessioned2022-08-04T22:09:42Z-
Data de disponibilização: dc.date.available2022-08-04T22:09:42Z-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2022-04-28-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2022-04-28-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2021-11-30-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-90118-5-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/11449/221759-
Fonte: dc.identifier.urihttp://educapes.capes.gov.br/handle/11449/221759-
Descrição: dc.descriptionIn 2020, the world experienced its very first pandemic of the globalized era. A novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, is the causative agent of severe pneumonia and has rapidly spread through many nations, crashing health systems and leading a large number of people to death. In Brazil, the emergence of local epidemics in major metropolitan areas has always been a concern. In a vast and heterogeneous country, with regional disparities and climate diversity, several factors can modulate the dynamics of COVID-19. What should be the scenario for inner Brazil, and what can we do to control infection transmission in each of these locations? Here, a mathematical model is proposed to simulate disease transmission among individuals in several scenarios, differing by abiotic factors, social-economic factors, and effectiveness of mitigation strategies. The disease control relies on keeping all individuals’ social distancing and detecting, followed by isolating, infected ones. The model reinforces social distancing as the most efficient method to control disease transmission. Moreover, it also shows that improving the detection and isolation of infected individuals can loosen this mitigation strategy. Finally, the effectiveness of control may be different across the country, and understanding it can help set up public health strategies.-
Descrição: dc.descriptionFundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)-
Descrição: dc.descriptionMedical School of Botucatu São Paulo State University-
Descrição: dc.descriptionInstitute of Mathematics Statistics and Scientific Computing University of Campinas-
Descrição: dc.descriptionInstitute of Biosciences São Paulo State University-
Descrição: dc.descriptionMedical School of Botucatu São Paulo State University-
Descrição: dc.descriptionInstitute of Biosciences São Paulo State University-
Descrição: dc.descriptionFAPESP: 18/24058-1-
Descrição: dc.descriptionFAPESP: 18/24811-1-
Idioma: dc.languageen-
Relação: dc.relationScientific Reports-
???dc.source???: dc.sourceScopus-
Título: dc.titleAddressing the COVID-19 transmission in inner Brazil by a mathematical model-
Tipo de arquivo: dc.typelivro digital-
Aparece nas coleções:Repositório Institucional - Unesp

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