The CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study in southeastern South America: a comparative study of statistical and dynamical downscaling models in simulating daily extreme precipitation events

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Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversity of Buenos Aires (DCAO-FCEN-UBA)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorNational Council of Scientific and Technical Research (CONICET)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUnité Mixte Internationale (UMI-IFAECI/CNRS-CONICET-UBA)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorCONICET-UBA-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade de São Paulo (USP)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorCSIC-Univ. Cantabria-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidad de Cantabria-
Autor(es): dc.contributorCentro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos-INPE-
Autor(es): dc.contributorInstituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorInternational Centre for Theoretical Physics (International Center for Theoretical Physics (ICTP))-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidad de la República-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidad Nacional de La Plata-
Autor(es): dc.contributorAcademy of Sciences of the Czech Republic-
Autor(es): dc.contributorCharles University-
Autor(es): dc.contributorEmpresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária (EMBRAPA)-
Autor(es): dc.creatorBettolli, M. L.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorSolman, S. A.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorda Rocha, R. P.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorLlopart, M. [UNESP]-
Autor(es): dc.creatorGutierrez, J. M.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorFernández, J.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorOlmo, M. E.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorLavin-Gullon, A.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorChou, S. C.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorRodrigues, D. Carneiro-
Autor(es): dc.creatorCoppola, E.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorBalmaceda Huarte, R.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorBarreiro, M.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorBlázquez, J.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorDoyle, M.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorFeijoó, M.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorHuth, R.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorMachado, L.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorCuadra, S. Vianna-
Data de aceite: dc.date.accessioned2022-02-22T00:45:00Z-
Data de disponibilização: dc.date.available2022-02-22T00:45:00Z-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2021-06-25-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2021-06-25-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2021-03-01-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05549-z-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/11449/205680-
Fonte: dc.identifier.urihttp://educapes.capes.gov.br/handle/11449/205680-
Descrição: dc.descriptionThe aim of this work is to present preliminary results of the statistical and dynamical simulations carried out within the framework of the Flagship Pilot Study in southeastern South America (FPS-SESA) endorsed by the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiments (CORDEX) program. The FPS-SESA initiative seeks to promote inter-institutional collaboration and further networking with focus on extreme rainfall events. The main scientific aim is to study multi-scale processes and interactions most conducive to extreme precipitation events through both statistical and dynamical downscaling techniques, including convection-permitting simulations. To this end, a targeted experiment was designed considering the season October 2009 to March 2010, a period with a record number of extreme precipitation events within SESA. Also, three individual extreme events within that season were chosen as case studies for analyzing specific regional processes and sensitivity to resolutions. Four dynamical and four statistical downscaling models (RCM and ESD respectively) from different institutions contributed to the experiment. In this work, an analysis of the capability of the set of the FPS-SESA downscaling methods in simulating daily precipitation during the selected warm season is presented together with an integrated assessment of multiple sources of observations and available CORDEX Regional Climate Model simulations. Comparisons among all simulations reveal that there is no single model that performs best in all aspects evaluated. The ability in reproducing the different features of daily precipitation depends on the model. However, the evaluation of the sequence of precipitation events, their intensity and timing suggests that FPS-SESA simulations based on both RCM and ESD yield promising results. Most models capture the extreme events selected, although with a considerable spread in accumulated values and the location of heavy precipitation.-
Descrição: dc.descriptionAbdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics-
Descrição: dc.descriptionSecretaria de Ciencia y Tecnica, Universidad de Buenos Aires-
Descrição: dc.descriptionAgencia Nacional de Promoción Científica y Tecnológica-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartment of Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences Faculty of Exact and Natural Sciences University of Buenos Aires (DCAO-FCEN-UBA)-
Descrição: dc.descriptionNational Council of Scientific and Technical Research (CONICET)-
Descrição: dc.descriptionInstitut Franco‐Argentin d’Estudes sur le Climat et ses Impacts Unité Mixte Internationale (UMI-IFAECI/CNRS-CONICET-UBA)-
Descrição: dc.descriptionCentro de Investigaciones del Mar y La Atmósfera (CIMA) CONICET-UBA-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartamento de Ciências Atmosféricas Universidade de São Paulo (USP)-
Descrição: dc.descriptionUniversidade Estadual Paulista Júlio de Mesquita Filho (UNESP)-
Descrição: dc.descriptionMeteorology Group Instituto de Física de Cantabria (IFCA) CSIC-Univ. Cantabria-
Descrição: dc.descriptionMeteorology Group Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science Universidad de Cantabria-
Descrição: dc.descriptionCentro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos-INPE-
Descrição: dc.descriptionInstituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)-
Descrição: dc.descriptionInternational Centre for Theoretical Physics (International Center for Theoretical Physics (ICTP))-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera Facultad de Ciencias Universidad de la República-
Descrição: dc.descriptionFacultad de Ciencias Astronómicas y Geofísicas Universidad Nacional de La Plata-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartment of Climatology Institute of Atmospheric Physics Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartment of Physical Geography and Geoecology Faculty of Science Charles University-
Descrição: dc.descriptionBrazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (EMBRAPA)-
Descrição: dc.descriptionUniversidade Estadual Paulista Júlio de Mesquita Filho (UNESP)-
Descrição: dc.descriptionSecretaria de Ciencia y Tecnica, Universidad de Buenos Aires: 2018-20020170100117BA-
Descrição: dc.descriptionAgencia Nacional de Promoción Científica y Tecnológica: PICT-2018-02496-
Formato: dc.format1589-1608-
Idioma: dc.languageen-
Relação: dc.relationClimate Dynamics-
???dc.source???: dc.sourceScopus-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectExtreme precipitation-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectObservational uncertainty-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectSoutheastern South America-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectStatistical and dynamical downscaling-
Título: dc.titleThe CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study in southeastern South America: a comparative study of statistical and dynamical downscaling models in simulating daily extreme precipitation events-
Tipo de arquivo: dc.typelivro digital-
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