Spatiotemporal dynamics of hantavirus cardiopulmonary syndrome transmission risk in Brazil

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MetadadosDescriçãoIdioma
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorMassey University-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade de São Paulo (USP)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorVitalant Research Institute-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversity of California-
Autor(es): dc.contributorEstrada Municipal Hisaichi Takebayashi-
Autor(es): dc.contributorInstituto Pró-Carnívoros-
Autor(es): dc.contributorFederal University of Mato Grosso (UFMT)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade Federal de Uberlândia (UFU)-
Autor(es): dc.contributorUniversidade Estadual de Santa Cruz-
Autor(es): dc.creatorMuylaert, Renata L. [UNESP]-
Autor(es): dc.creatorSabino-Santos, Gilberto-
Autor(es): dc.creatorPrist, Paula R.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorOshima, Júlia E.F. [UNESP]-
Autor(es): dc.creatorNiebuhr, Bernardo Brandão [UNESP]-
Autor(es): dc.creatorSobral-Souza, Thadeu-
Autor(es): dc.creatorDe Oliveira, Stefan Vilges-
Autor(es): dc.creatorBovendorp, Ricardo Siqueira-
Autor(es): dc.creatorMarshall, Jonathan C.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorHayman, David T.S.-
Autor(es): dc.creatorRibeiro, Milton Cezar [UNESP]-
Data de aceite: dc.date.accessioned2022-02-22T00:33:10Z-
Data de disponibilização: dc.date.available2022-02-22T00:33:10Z-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2020-12-11-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2020-12-11-
Data de envio: dc.date.issued2019-10-30-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3390/v11111011-
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/11449/201301-
Fonte: dc.identifier.urihttp://educapes.capes.gov.br/handle/11449/201301-
Descrição: dc.descriptionBackground: Hantavirus disease in humans is rare but frequently lethal in the Neotropics. Several abundant and widely distributed Sigmodontinae rodents are the primary hosts of Orthohantavirus and, in combination with other factors, these rodents can shape hantavirus disease. Here, we assessed the influence of host diversity, climate, social vulnerability and land use change on the risk of hantavirus disease in Brazil over 24 years. Methods: Landscape variables (native forest, forestry, sugarcane, maize and pasture), climate (temperature and precipitation), and host biodiversity (derived through niche models) were used in spatiotemporal models, using the 5570 Brazilian municipalities as units of analysis. Results: Amounts of native forest and sugarcane, combined with temperature, were the most important factors influencing the increase of disease risk. Population at risk (rural workers) and rodent host diversity also had a positive effect on disease risk. Conclusions: Land use change—especially the conversion of native areas to sugarcane fields—can have a significant impact on hantavirus disease risk, likely by promoting the interaction between the people and the infected rodents. Our results demonstrate the importance of understanding the interactions between landscape change, rodent diversity, and hantavirus disease incidence, and suggest that land use policy should consider disease risk. Meanwhile, our risk map can be used to help allocate preventive measures to avoid disease.-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartment of Ecology Institute of Biosciences São Paulo State University (UNESP)-
Descrição: dc.descriptionMolecular Epidemiology and Public Health Laboratory Hopkirk Research Institute Massey University, Private Bag 11-222-
Descrição: dc.descriptionCenter for Virology Research Ribeirão Preto Medical School University of São Paulo, Av. Bandeirantes 3900-
Descrição: dc.descriptionVitalant Research Institute, 270 Masonic Avenue-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartment of Laboratory Medicine University of California, 270 Masonic Avenue-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartment of Ecology Biosciences Institute University of São Paulo-
Descrição: dc.descriptionCentro Nacional de Pesquisa e Conservacao de Mamiferos Carnivoros (CENAP) Instituto Chico Mendes de Conservação (ICMBio) Estrada Municipal Hisaichi Takebayashi, 8600-Bairro da Usina-
Descrição: dc.descriptionInstituto Pró-Carnívoros, Av. Horácio Neto 1030-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartment of Botany and Ecology Federal University of Mato Grosso (UFMT)-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartamento de Saúde Coletiva Faculdade de Medicina Universidade Federal de Uberlândia Campus Umuarama, Avenida Pará, 1720-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartamento de Ciências Biológicas Universidade Estadual de Santa Cruz-
Descrição: dc.descriptionDepartment of Ecology Institute of Biosciences São Paulo State University (UNESP)-
Idioma: dc.languageen-
Relação: dc.relationViruses-
???dc.source???: dc.sourceScopus-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectApproximate Bayesian inference-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectEmerging diseases-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectIntegrated nested Laplace approximations-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectLand use change-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectLatent Gaussian models-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectPolygon-based analysis-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectPublic health-
Palavras-chave: dc.subjectZero inflation-
Título: dc.titleSpatiotemporal dynamics of hantavirus cardiopulmonary syndrome transmission risk in Brazil-
Tipo de arquivo: dc.typelivro digital-
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