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Metadados | Descrição | Idioma |
---|---|---|
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Joint Research Centre | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | University of Colorado Boulder | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Centro de Investigacion Cientifica y de Educacion Superior de Ensenada | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | University of Copenhagen | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Danish Meteorological Institute | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | University of New South Wales | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Institute of Coastal Research | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Cyprus Institute | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Climate Service Center Germany | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation Marine and Atmospheric Research | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | University du Quebec à Montreal | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | University of Cape Town | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Bogazici University | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Institute of Oceanology | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp) | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Isik University | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Karlsruhe Institute of Technology | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Universidade de São Paulo (USP) | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Universidad de Buenos Aires | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | University of Queensland | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | National University of Malaysia (UKM) | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environment | - |
Autor(es): dc.contributor | Norwegian Research Centre AS (NORCE) | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Spinoni, Jonathan | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Barbosa, Paulo | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Bucchignani, Edoardo | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Cassano, John | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Cavazos, Tereza | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Christensen, Jens H. | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Christensen, Ole B. | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Coppola, Erika | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Evans, Jason | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Geyer, Beate | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Giorgi, Filippo | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Hadjinicolaou, Panos | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Jacob, Daniela | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Katzfey, Jack | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Koenigk, Torben | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Laprise, René | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Lennard, Christopher J. | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Kurnaz, M. Levent | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Delei, L. I. | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Llopart, Marta [UNESP] | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | McCormick, Niall | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Naumann, Gustavo | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Nikulin, Grigory | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Ozturk, Tugba | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Panitz, Hans-Juergen | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | da Rocha, Rosmeri Porfirio | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Rockel, Burkhardt | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Solman, Silvina A. | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Syktus, Jozef | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Tangang, Fredolin | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Teichmann, Claas | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Vautard, Robert | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Vogt, Jürgen V. | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Winger, Katja | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Zittis, George | - |
Autor(es): dc.creator | Dosio, Alessandro | - |
Data de aceite: dc.date.accessioned | 2022-02-22T00:31:43Z | - |
Data de disponibilização: dc.date.available | 2022-02-22T00:31:43Z | - |
Data de envio: dc.date.issued | 2020-12-11 | - |
Data de envio: dc.date.issued | 2020-12-11 | - |
Data de envio: dc.date.issued | 2020-05-01 | - |
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifier | http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0084.1 | - |
Fonte completa do material: dc.identifier | http://hdl.handle.net/11449/200788 | - |
Fonte: dc.identifier.uri | http://educapes.capes.gov.br/handle/11449/200788 | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Two questions motivated this study: 1) Will meteorological droughts become more frequent and severe during the twenty-first century? 2) Given the projected global temperature rise, to what extent does the inclusion of temperature (in addition to precipitation) in drought indicators play a role in future meteorological droughts? To answer, we analyzed the changes in drought frequency, severity, and historically undocumented extreme droughts over 1981–2100, using the standardized precipitation index (SPI; including precipitation only) and standardized precipitation-evapotranspiration index (SPEI; indirectly including temperature), and under two representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). As input data, we employed 103 high-resolution (0.448) simulations from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX), based on a combination of 16 global circulation models (GCMs) and 20 regional circulation models (RCMs). This is the first study on global drought projections including RCMs based on such a large ensemble of RCMs. Based on precipitation only,;15% of the global land is likely to experience more frequent and severe droughts during 2071–2100 versus 1981–2010 for both scenarios. This increase is larger (;47% under RCP4.5,;49% under RCP8.5) when precipitation and temperature are used. Both SPI and SPEI project more frequent and severe droughts, especially under RCP8.5, over southern South America, the Mediterranean region, southern Africa, southeastern China, Japan, and southern Australia. A decrease in drought is projected for high latitudes in Northern Hemisphere and Southeast Asia. If temperature is included, drought characteristics are projected to increase over North America, Amazonia, central Europe and Asia, the Horn of Africa, India, and central Australia; if only precipitation is considered, they are found to decrease over those areas. | - |
Descrição: dc.description | European Commission Joint Research Centre | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences University of Colorado Boulder | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Centro de Investigacion Cientifica y de Educacion Superior de Ensenada | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Niels Bohr Institute University of Copenhagen | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Danish Meteorological Institute | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Faculty of Science University of New South Wales | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Institute of Coastal Research | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Energy Environment and Water Research Center Cyprus Institute | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Climate Service Center Germany | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation Marine and Atmospheric Research | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Rossby Centre Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Département des Sciences de la Terre et de l’Atmosphère University du Quebec à Montreal | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Climate System Analysis Group University of Cape Town | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Department of Physics Faculty of Arts and Sciences Bogazici University | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies Bogazici University | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Chinese Academy of Sciences Institute of Oceanology | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Sao Paulo State University Bauru Meteorological Centre (IPMet/UNESP) | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Department of Physics Faculty of Arts and Sciences Isik University | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research Karlsruhe Institute of Technology | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Departimento de Ciências Atmosféricas Universidade de Sao Paulo | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos Universidad de Buenos Aires | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera Universidad de Buenos Aires | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Global Change Institute University of Queensland | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Department of Earth Sciences and Environment National University of Malaysia (UKM) | - |
Descrição: dc.description | National Centre for Scientific Research Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environment | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Norwegian Research Centre AS (NORCE) | - |
Descrição: dc.description | Sao Paulo State University Bauru Meteorological Centre (IPMet/UNESP) | - |
Formato: dc.format | 3635-3661 | - |
Idioma: dc.language | en | - |
Relação: dc.relation | Journal of Climate | - |
???dc.source???: dc.source | Scopus | - |
Título: dc.title | Future global meteorological drought hot spots: A study based on CORDEX data | - |
Tipo de arquivo: dc.type | livro digital | - |
Aparece nas coleções: | Repositório Institucional - Unesp |
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